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Fifth time unlucky for Kenyan leader

Raila Amolo Odinga has spent most of his adult life in politics, including eight years in prison as a pro-democracy campaigner, but despite five attempts, has never achieved his presidential ambitions.

The 77-year-old, who lost his fifth bid for the presidency to Deputy President William Ruto, has long cast himself as an anti-establishment firebrand, despite belonging to one of Kenya’s top political dynasties.

But his decision to strike an alliance with his arch-rival, President Uhuru Kenyatta, took the shine off his brand.

The Kenyatta and Odinga families have dominated Kenyan politics since the country won independence from colonial ruler Britain in 1963.

Uhuru Kenyatta’s father Jomo was the East African nation’s first president, while his rival Jaramogi Oginga Odinga — Raila’s father — served as vice president.

Born on January 7, 1945, Odinga spent his early years in politics either in jail or in exile, fighting for democracy during the autocratic rule of president Daniel arap Moi.

A member of the Luo tribe, he entered parliament in 1992 and ran unsuccessfully for the presidency in 1997, 2007, 2013 and 2017, claiming to have been cheated of victory in the last three elections.

The 2007 polls in particular — which many independent observers also considered deeply flawed — cast a long shadow over Kenyan politics, unleashing a wave of ethnic violence that pitted the Luo and Kalenjin tribes against the Kikuyu community, costing more than 1,100 lives.

Few therefore expected Odinga and Kenyatta — a Kikuyu — to shake hands and draw a line under decades of vitriol in March 2018, effectively leaving Kenya without an opposition.

– Polarising politician –

Kenyatta’s endorsement of Odinga came at the expense of Ruto, who found himself frozen out as the erstwhile foes drew closer.

It also came loaded with risks for Odinga, with Ruto, 55, positioning himself as the champion for the “hustlers” trying to make ends meet in a country ruled by “dynasties”.

Even as Odinga attempted to pull off a complex balancing act, keeping his base happy while trying to attract Kikuyu voters, he remained a polarising candidate.

While his supporters consider Odinga a much-needed social reformer, detractors see him as a rabble-rousing populist, unafraid to play the tribal card.

A charismatic speaker, he has a reputation for being stubborn and sometimes short-tempered.

In the eyes of some observers, his crowd-pleasing skills have diminished in recent years, attributed to advancing age and ill health.

With his speech notes in hand, he often stumbles and labours over his words — especially in English. Speaking off-the-cuff in his native Swahili, however, he retains the ability to inspire.

– ‘Win some, lose some’ –

Passionate about reggae, he has adopted South African star Lucky Dube’s song “Nobody Can Stop Reggae” as an unofficial motto for his campaign in recent years.

Although many observers believe that the one-time prime…

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